MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34953fe37217eea0b87f68a4d0fe98ab3b911a55f19531ae52e080ff7264e4dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Twins, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccea…5653backed Athletics | 38c | 9,999$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…c97bbacked Twins | 62c | 9,998$6,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,196.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 70c | 9,419$6,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.65 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Twins | 28c | 8,636$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Twins | 23c | 8,384$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.33 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 52c | 6,122$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 17c | 4,073$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.69 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Twins | 64c | 4,030$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.37 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 1c | 3,157$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 1c | 2,407$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 63c | 2,215$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.26 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.01 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Twins | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Athletics | 36c | 1,986$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…4a30backed Athletics | 40c | 1,925$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Twins | 63c | 1,908$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.5 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Twins | 23c | 1,380$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.4 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 78c | 1,224$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.75 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…a014backed Athletics | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Twins | 45c | 1,194$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.61 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…7fbfbacked Twins | 4c | 1,178$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 37c | 1,151$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.26 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Twins | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Twins | 31c | 1,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Twins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Athletics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…7cf5backed Twins | 60c | 992$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…cd1abacked Twins | 60c | 933$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…2fefbacked Twins | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Athletics | 37c | 891.89$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.89 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Twins | 7c | 863.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Twins | 3c | 848.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 36c | 834.43$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.21 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…c03dbacked Twins | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Twins | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Athletics | 36c | 699.91$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 62c | 629.55$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 36c | 582.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.94 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics | 79c | 561$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…de50backed Twins | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 63c | 537.61$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.69 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Twins | 19c | 532.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Athletics | 56c | 531.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.67 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 22c | 485.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…8160backed Twins | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 61c | 385.26$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.02 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Twins | 63c | 274.96$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.23 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Twins | 7c | 220$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 38c | 199.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Twins | 62c | 176.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 37c | 170.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Athletics | 36c | 154.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twins | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Twins | 65c | 152$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Twins | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Athletics | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Twins | 63c | 135$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…cc6dbacked Athletics | 39c | 129.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…3663backed Twins | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…7684backed Athletics | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…df3fbacked Athletics | 40c | 112.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…b3a2backed Athletics | 39c | 111$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…07d8backed Twins | 61c | 111$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Athletics | 39c | 110.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…1b70backed Twins | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…4453backed Athletics | 38c | 105$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…9651backed Athletics | 38c | 102$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…8cd3backed Twins | 62c | 102$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…3332backed Athletics | 39c | 101$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…f96ebacked Twins | 61c | 101$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 28c | 100.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Twins | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0d…25ecbacked Athletics | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…4309backed Twins | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Twins | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…38bcbacked Athletics | 38c | 95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe2…f5bdbacked Twins | 62c | 95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…9765backed Athletics | 39c | 91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…1d62backed Twins | 61c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…913bbacked Twins | 61c | 89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce0…6bdebacked Athletics | 39c | 89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…ad10backed Twins | 62c | 88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3235…6ac9backed Athletics | 38c | 88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…214ebacked Athletics | 38c | 87.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…e6e2backed Athletics | 40c | 86.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…9204backed Athletics | 39c | 86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…07dabacked Athletics | 38c | 86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343e…1402backed Twins | 62c | 86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 62c | 86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a5…aed3backed Twins | 61c | 85.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…05cebacked Twins | 62c | 81.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Athletics | 79c | 81.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb955…175ebacked Twins | 62c | 80.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…0570backed Twins | 62c | 79.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…5642backed Twins | 62c | 78.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…2ec3backed Athletics | 38c | 78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…2502backed Twins | 62c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…1b62backed Athletics | 36c | 77.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.