TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Wild34c13,901$4,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,792.3236242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights66c8,400$5,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.9992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Wild41c7,672$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,158.3731753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Golden Knights65c6,779$4,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.687361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights58c6,489$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.991,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Wild18c4,827$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.9144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Wild37c4,446$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.986357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Golden Knights66c3,050$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.382864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Wild44c2,765$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.0424546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Golden Knights63c2,693$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.4810448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights63c2,098$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights58c2,000$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights63c1,784$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.641,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Wild34c1,555$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.6810627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed Golden Knights62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Wild38c1,496$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Golden Knights64c1,266$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.930549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Wild35c1,206$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.977634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wild2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild36c906.19$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5584…6e2abacked Wild36c810.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild33c802.51$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.831,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Wild43c701.98$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.858139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Golden Knights61c695.13$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9322842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Wild8c658.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights66c635$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights63c442.56$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Golden Knights65c403.42$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.29251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Wild35c399.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9331849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcc…2d54backed Golden Knights63c361.9$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild38c308.51$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.881,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Wild37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Golden Knights63c299.94$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.982669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+55%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights78c252.76$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Golden Knights61c245.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5300…a7cfbacked Golden Knights66c245.36$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c6…10e2backed Wild39c244.05$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild6c240.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Golden Knights68c235.29$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.292657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wild5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights61c163.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9329748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Wild15c159.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.138744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Golden Knights64c155.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.561936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Golden Knights65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.859149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Golden Knights65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8530946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea4f…3463backed Wild34c152.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Golden Knights67c148.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.167256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc9b…ede9backed Wild35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18dc…6e79backed Golden Knights66c141.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.172653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Wild9c138.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild11c134.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Golden Knights61c130.95$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Golden Knights61c130.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf823…b083backed Wild39c117.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…41d5backed Wild37c112.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2da…b4debacked Wild38c102.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.811136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Golden Knights65c101.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5420861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6a…8b6dbacked Golden Knights63c101.32$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.491957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Golden Knights66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Wild34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348627.9%24 W · 62 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Golden Knights63c99.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9935154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x850e…39eebacked Wild35c99.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.922250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e4…53eabacked Golden Knights64c94.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.961266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Golden Knights54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.599955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21bb…114bbacked Golden Knights64c84.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.471450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29cd…15c4backed Wild36c83.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.031963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7db…e78fbacked Golden Knights67c79.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f62…0ac2backed Wild34c79.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.051050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d6…f330backed Golden Knights67c75.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Golden Knights66c74.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.59352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad2…429dbacked Golden Knights67c73.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7b2…7c50backed Golden Knights68c73.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b98…41b0backed Golden Knights66c72.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.82661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4a7…b4dfbacked Wild37c72.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.741421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-52.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57ce…f415backed Golden Knights67c72.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.84977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+60.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5139…9eb6backed Wild36c71.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.641752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceba…b645backed Wild34c71.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b1…b478backed Golden Knights64c69.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Wild36c69.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.992458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a6…7f82backed Wild34c68.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.151030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…92a9backed Golden Knights67c67.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c7c…eae8backed Golden Knights65c65.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.011877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Golden Knights63c65.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0876450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bea…80a0backed Wild37c63.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Golden Knights63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.494827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x792d…8e8bbacked Wild37c63.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.411338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Golden Knights65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5425358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…a78fbacked Golden Knights65c59.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.772458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9bb…1329backed Wild34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c8f…d3ecbacked Golden Knights66c57.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…104dbacked Wild35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27bc…aa06backed Wild35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ff…edc5backed Golden Knights65c55.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.481250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Wild34c51.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.415429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Wild34c50.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1720649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.