Cricket · resolved market
Afghanistan vs. New Guinea - Cricket T20 World Cup
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac26263e696c6815c44d29caeade150d14f4612530fccbc973fafd4c6d31b79e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Afghanistanof Afghanistan, New Guinea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed New Guinea | 6c | 1,759$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…46d5backed New Guinea | 6c | 999.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…e958backed New Guinea | 8c | 825$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3f…72d3backed New Guinea | 8c | 462.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed New Guinea | 6c | 437.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed New Guinea | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed New Guinea | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed New Guinea | 6c | 287.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed New Guinea | 6c | 222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…44d2backed New Guinea | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.