Stocks · resolved market
GME halted on Wednesday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b134348ef160a7a9059d5807793caaf8ce3ff77ac9db8dc678fb1868a96f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf98…41bcbacked Yes | 50c | 579.06$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…3b8fbacked No | 39c | 414.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 63c | 393.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 41c | 233.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed Yes | 36c | 168.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 64c | 154.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…e95dbacked No | 66c | 150.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…bad3backed Yes | 72c | 139.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…0312backed Yes | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 63c | 79.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 37c | 77.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 45c | 74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 39c | 58.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…0b36backed Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…7a9ebacked No | 39c | 32.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85dd…eeb6backed Yes | 62c | 32.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…0fbcbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.