MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34eed1e9d16620d8450b50584778dce9c0ebe4575cd937f41df51298ccb7aa2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,016,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,016,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Mariners | 46c | 733,066$338,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394,280.72 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 54c | 289,152$156,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,020.51 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets | 53c | 118,800$62,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,964 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 54c | 59,350$31,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,958.22 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Mets | 54c | 52,728$28,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,473.24 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 54c | 49,834$26,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,860.15 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Mets | 54c | 40,107$21,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,657.67 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Mariners | 46c | 38,177$17,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,615.57 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Mets | 54c | 21,483$11,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600.98 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mets | 54c | 17,973$9,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,705.43 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Mets | 58c | 16,580$9,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,640.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 53c | 13,800$7,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,357 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mets | 54c | 12,407$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 54c | 11,300$6,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,102 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mets | 29c | 10,758$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.77 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mariners | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mets | 54c | 8,732$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.17 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mets | 54c | 7,731$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.72 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners | 47c | 7,330$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 13c | 7,150$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.97 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 54c | 6,810$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.43 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 54c | 6,030$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 46c | 4,889$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.89 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…48aebacked Mets | 54c | 3,904$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Mets | 54c | 3,519$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 54c | 3,440$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mariners | 47c | 3,000$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Mets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mariners | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 55c | 2,706$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.14 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets | 54c | 2,700$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mariners | 35c | 2,392$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.72 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Mariners | 41c | 2,251$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.4 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mets | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Mariners | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mariners | 47c | 2,064$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.83 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 55c | 2,023$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mariners | 45c | 1,944$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.09 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.76 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 46c | 1,889$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.03 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 61c | 1,850$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.79 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mets | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Mariners | 45c | 1,400$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.9 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mets | 29c | 1,399$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.21 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mets | 45c | 1,098$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.05 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 49c | 1,061$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.01 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Mariners | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Mariners | 48c | 1,039$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.49 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Mets | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Mets | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Mets | 44c | 747.83$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.91 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Mets | 15c | 717.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 60c | 714.44$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Mets | 52c | 683.98$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.67 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Mets | 54c | 667.36$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.37 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 23c | 666.77$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Mets | 9c | 649.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 49c | 597.56$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.26 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mets | 64c | 582.03$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.93 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mariners | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Mets | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 48c | 525.09$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Mariners | 50c | 503.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.49 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mariners | 46c | 500.01$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.01 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mariners | 45c | 472.16$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mariners | 56c | 467.07$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Mariners | 28c | 445.84$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.26 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners | 65c | 422.12$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mariners | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mets | 50c | 397.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Mets | 14c | 392.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Mariners | 36c | 351.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.59 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 47c | 349.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Mets | 17c | 341$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Mets | 48c | 310.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mariners | 47c | 309.57$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mariners | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 51c | 280.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Mets | 52c | 276.3$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.68 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mets | 54c | 256$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mariners | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Mets | 15c | 204.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Mariners | 40c | 203.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 14c | 201.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.