Premier League · resolved market
Will England win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e9cc974485103ba8b0bd6b40c05a7b01fd31108a48d4a239dd1f5daebe6483e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f7d…197cbacked No | 31c | 8,713$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 70c | 8,413$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 33c | 5,176$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.79 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…c431backed Yes | 66c | 1,507$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…c0b8backed Yes | 68c | 1,469$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 32c | 1,049$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.39 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 67c | 942.14$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.26 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…4b3fbacked Yes | 70c | 874.59$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…94bbbacked Yes | 68c | 739.27$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 68c | 734.35$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.72 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 32c | 661.46$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.94 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 29c | 640.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…fcd4backed Yes | 71c | 523.57$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…33c5backed No | 29c | 482.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 68c | 343.69$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…293fbacked No | 32c | 271.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…1d90backed Yes | 75c | 201.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c4…d57dbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 15c | 155$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…7351backed Yes | 68c | 152.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.3wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…e84fbacked Yes | 68c | 150.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…071cbacked Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 68c | 147.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…0241backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…25a3backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked Yes | 67c | 134.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…8cf6backed Yes | 68c | 112.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…7f92backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 71c | 99.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…b637backed Yes | 68c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…b84abacked Yes | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245d…38a4backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…7c06backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…6ee9backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…96a2backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…4ed6backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…e881backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…0de6backed Yes | 72c | 55.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…089ebacked Yes | 69c | 52.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…3987backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…231fbacked Yes | 71c | 46.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6051…9e3fbacked Yes | 70c | 45.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…1987backed Yes | 71c | 42.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…066cbacked Yes | 72c | 41.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…1d3cbacked Yes | 74c | 41.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…3300backed Yes | 72c | 36.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +160%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…35eebacked Yes | 66c | 34.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…6608backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…8571backed Yes | 78c | 28.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb827…84c1backed Yes | 72c | 27.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…5008backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…c310backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…e0c3backed Yes | 71c | 22.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…51e3backed Yes | 72c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win?this page
- Will Serbia win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.