MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18741655c3dcd13833e1c17c7e96933427f8f3a032e85247d959b07b12c92a9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Diamondbacks, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $564,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $553,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Pirates | 44c | 397,813$174,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,580.6 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 94,892$53,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,104.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 80,000$44,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 78,800$44,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,916 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 75,137$42,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,075.83 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Diamondbacks | 27c | 41,448$11,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,374.11 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 38,000$21,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,660 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 43c | 34,883$15,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,864.68 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pirates | 46c | 20,000$9,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,896.93 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 10,174$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.77 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks | 25c | 7,355$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 7,300$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pirates | 43c | 6,649$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.79 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 6,602$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 70c | 5,729$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 3,969$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.22 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 3,430$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Pirates | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.97 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 2,315$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.4 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,200$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,824$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.64 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.92 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…0e7fbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,498$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 1,472$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,097$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.28 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,036$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 937$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 43c | 758.5$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.34 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 43c | 707.97$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.54 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 690$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 648.33$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 43c | 642$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.94 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…5bc1backed Pirates | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 18c | 553.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 452.69$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 439$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.84 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 438.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 426.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 420$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 405$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Pirates | 43c | 370.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Diamondbacks | 17c | 339.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 44c | 321.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 16c | 310.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 75c | 250.88$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 217.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 204$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Pirates | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Diamondbacks | 20c | 197.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 190.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Pirates | 44c | 177$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Pirates | 45c | 174.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Diamondbacks | 24c | 167.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 44c | 164$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 45c | 146$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 145.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 144.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks | 28c | 144.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Pirates | 43c | 144$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 142.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 119.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 110.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 44c | 109.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 49c | 102.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Pirates | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…f927backed Pirates | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Pirates | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Pirates | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…3835backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dce…68b0backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…6b2cbacked Pirates | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Pirates | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…c491backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…786abacked Pirates | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Diamondbacks | 27c | 96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 17c | 90.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pirates | 43c | 87.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.