TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Giants, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce1f…41a9backed Tigers65c18,257$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,357.044858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Giants50c12,345$6,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,172.517351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers51c11,839$5,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,856.191,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Giants24c7,609$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.91,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants22c5,770$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.232,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants18c3,925$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants49c3,582$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.31,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants18c3,284$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.249,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants10c3,131$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7841643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Tigers51c2,980$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.3931248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Tigers51c2,301$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.2515543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Tigers80c2,125$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.338457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Giants50c2,003$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf143…f5d9backed Giants49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Giants6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd32…4893backed Giants49c1,939$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Giants49c1,471$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.6423752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Giants51c1,403$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.975545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Giants45c1,391$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.841,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Giants25c1,279$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.8418349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f43…fab3backed Giants42c1,170$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3124…014bbacked Giants2c1,153$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…118cbacked Tigers51c1,010$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Tigers50c999.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.7133349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa95e…1924backed Tigers51c990$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b6…cd1abacked Tigers51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ce…c3c2backed Giants48c979.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.391346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c8…4072backed Tigers51c958$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Giants11c907.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers50c887.66$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8399149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Giants30c800.12$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23725835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40020450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Tigers52c752.77$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8614951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Tigers50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37513353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Giants49c520.9$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6215949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Tigers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Giants50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants4c449.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.55053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Giants44c438.51$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5414047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants33c429.31$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.231,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Giants19c420$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.296336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Giants50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Tigers50c399.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19814050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca5…52a2backed Giants50c398.9$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Giants50c388.66$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3318449.5%91 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Giants30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Giants50c328.15$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0816551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Giants18c325$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Tigers52c303.98$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8510746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Giants50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers52c290.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.352,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Giants7c278$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.718762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Giants7c275.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Giants22c266.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5930928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants35c264.57$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.61,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers55c225$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2545248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5f97backed Tigers55c217.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.168146.9%38 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tigers76c216.92$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8363942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Giants46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9240629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Giants50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…62a1backed Tigers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Tigers78c196$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1213555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Tigers52c192.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3919852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Giants48c186.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Tigers58c164.35$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3519849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Giants49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8099951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b9…db98backed Giants46c140.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Giants50c128$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410154.5%55 W · 46 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe961…53a3backed Giants54c125.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1f…ec73backed Giants45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tigers46c116.65$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.995,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers54c105.02$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8252542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Giants49c102.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce6…e1b0backed Giants26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Giants49c93.65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8911058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d27…f6cfbacked Tigers55c89.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.414025%10 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6cc…b1dcbacked Giants28c89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0b…7888backed Tigers72c89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Tigers51c83.59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5928453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5635…44a3backed Tigers51c78.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+63.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d36…10d5backed Giants49c76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2995…6d7abacked Tigers51c76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f3…e75bbacked Tigers52c75.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.171668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Giants45c69.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.517732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb58d…818ebacked Tigers78c61.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.694146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x509c…e581backed Tigers53c60.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Giants49c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb97…add3backed Giants50c59.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.667142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Tigers49c59.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1810552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e84…7040backed Tigers51c56.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+69%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…0351backed Giants50c52.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…6643backed Giants51c52.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae03…4726backed Tigers51c51.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.