MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb2c49709f244b4ea405460e9370abc62cb2ef1e8c879ac755bfcce41abe9ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf825…9275backed Cardinals | 52c | 31,811$16,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,269.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…a7b0backed Orioles | 48c | 31,544$15,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,140.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Orioles | 46c | 15,630$7,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,190.01 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 54c | 12,281$6,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,659.08 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Cardinals | 53c | 6,095$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 39c | 6,062$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.28 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 47c | 5,037$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.24 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 40c | 2,689$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 28c | 2,509$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 71c | 2,109$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.86 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Orioles | 46c | 2,088$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.76 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 46c | 2,086$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.69 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 59c | 2,073$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.31 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Cardinals | 51c | 2,003$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Orioles | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cardinals | 53c | 2,000$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.56 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…7ecdbacked Orioles | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…b670backed Orioles | 49c | 1,867$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,584$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.46 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Orioles | 2c | 1,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…9f91backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Orioles | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Cardinals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 1,000$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.24 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd8…2dd9backed Cardinals | 53c | 1,000$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…7956backed Cardinals | 51c | 941$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Orioles | 48c | 927.74$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.21 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…9470backed Cardinals | 51c | 925.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 54c | 921.85$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.05 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Orioles | 55c | 911.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Cardinals | 71c | 836$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…836bbacked Cardinals | 51c | 822$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 47c | 759.45$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.94 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Cardinals | 54c | 734.57$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.9 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 42c | 686.15$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.43 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 64c | 604.69$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 48c | 546.46$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 523.12$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.38 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Orioles | 35c | 470.91$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cardinals | 54c | 463$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Cardinals | 54c | 462.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.88 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Orioles | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cardinals | 73c | 422.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cardinals | 52c | 385.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…61a1backed Orioles | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Cardinals | 42c | 337.21$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.21 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Cardinals | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…2fefbacked Cardinals | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Cardinals | 30c | 276.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa015…c0fdbacked Orioles | 48c | 266.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Orioles | 49c | 247.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…10c5backed Cardinals | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Orioles | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…a6c9backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Orioles | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Orioles | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Cardinals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 42c | 174.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Orioles | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Orioles | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Cardinals | 77c | 144.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Orioles | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Orioles | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Orioles | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cardinals | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Orioles | 49c | 89.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Orioles | 23c | 87.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Orioles | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cardinals | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 83.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Cardinals | 75c | 79.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cardinals | 52c | 78.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Orioles | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Orioles | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Cardinals | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Cardinals | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Cardinals | 71c | 55.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cardinals | 46c | 54.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Orioles | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cardinals | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…2ec3backed Cardinals | 52c | 46.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…d8debacked Orioles | 50c | 46.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cardinals | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Cardinals | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…3f97backed Orioles | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Orioles | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.