Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f3e0bac22e5ebdb0e88a9eae0c57dfcaca655f144f9d84983dd4bebf19a9034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 48c | 6,278$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.19 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 51c | 4,991$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.2 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 52c | 2,380$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.55 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 41c | 1,993$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.81 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 58c | 1,450$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.17 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 57c | 1,267$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.15 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 41c | 735.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.23 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 44c | 554.91$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.75 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 42c | 478$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…7286backed No | 59c | 399$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 58c | 386.2$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 54c | 382.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 32c | 301.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 49c | 273.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 57c | 208.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…9b67backed Yes | 42c | 130.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 129.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36df…d282backed Yes | 43c | 125.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…5e19backed Yes | 43c | 122.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 42c | 122.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 55c | 115.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4c55backed Yes | 42c | 113.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…9325backed Yes | 42c | 113.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…e0ebbacked Yes | 43c | 106.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…82d9backed Yes | 43c | 106.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 57c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…e9c3backed Yes | 44c | 103.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1f…03fcbacked No | 59c | 92.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…d5dabacked No | 58c | 91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384b…d038backed No | 59c | 89.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…6c84backed No | 59c | 88.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b6…abe2backed No | 59c | 88.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…d992backed No | 59c | 87.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…c1e5backed No | 62c | 87.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…0fdfbacked No | 58c | 86.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b0…8cedbacked No | 59c | 85.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…dddabacked Yes | 42c | 84.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…5ecfbacked No | 65c | 84.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…b182backed No | 59c | 82.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…c0fcbacked No | 58c | 82.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…b953backed Yes | 43c | 81.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…0696backed No | 59c | 80.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c5…5937backed No | 58c | 80.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…25b3backed No | 59c | 79.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…9a39backed No | 59c | 78.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…7973backed No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…afe5backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…f59abacked Yes | 43c | 66.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ef…dc31backed No | 59c | 66.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8093…6910backed Yes | 43c | 60.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 57c | 56.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…c0b2backed Yes | 42c | 54.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdd…1969backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…b5c5backed Yes | 44c | 42.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…eb41backed No | 59c | 37.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…d692backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…bc27backed No | 59c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…17d9backed Yes | 50c | 31.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Yes | 72c | 30.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…20fbbacked Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…fa08backed Yes | 42c | 26.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…80c0backed Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…32a2backed No | 59c | 25.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc002…ebcdbacked No | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9843…7665backed No | 60c | 22.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…8aa5backed No | 58c | 19.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…5e6bbacked Yes | 72c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2025-05-18?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-05-18?No won
- Will Leicester vs. Ipswich end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.