MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce62a8ea63b171c2005e626ef11d3aa31c7e49a1b3d52cb43a57f43fdf47d154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 48c | 14,715$7,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650.45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 51c | 13,678$6,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,923.67 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 51c | 8,050$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,938.24 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Twins | 47c | 6,232$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.57 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.95 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Twins | 48c | 3,656$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 55c | 2,434$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.83 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Rays | 53c | 2,010$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 52c | 2,002$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 53c | 2,000$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.03 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rays | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Twins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 47c | 1,920$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.51 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 45c | 1,895$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.84 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Rays | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 48c | 1,720$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.72 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rays | 52c | 1,711$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.26 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 52c | 1,500$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.46 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 47c | 1,282$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.54 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Rays | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Twins | 48c | 880.08$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.44 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rays | 51c | 821.53$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.55 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 13c | 706.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Rays | 49c | 689.01$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.12 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 73c | 522$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Rays | 53c | 467.92$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Twins | 53c | 389.3$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.89 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Rays | 54c | 292$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Twins | 48c | 271.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Twins | 17c | 247.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 47c | 219.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Twins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 48c | 188$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Twins | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c20…0a7ebacked Twins | 49c | 130.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe027…14a3backed Twins | 48c | 109.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…547abacked Twins | 48c | 108.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Twins | 48c | 104.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rays | 53c | 104.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…6d96backed Twins | 48c | 102.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…e7f4backed Rays | 54c | 101.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Rays | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…b2f0backed Twins | 48c | 97.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…4684backed Rays | 54c | 95.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…9c84backed Rays | 54c | 95.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…2b8dbacked Twins | 48c | 93.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…63c7backed Rays | 54c | 92.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…4e01backed Rays | 54c | 91.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Rays | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…4022backed Twins | 48c | 85.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…5b91backed Rays | 54c | 85.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…df3fbacked Rays | 54c | 84.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 47c | 80.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Rays | 54c | 79.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3e71backed Twins | 48c | 71.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 70c | 60.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Twins | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rays | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rays | 52c | 44.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…a73dbacked Rays | 53c | 42.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…d0b2backed Twins | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Twins | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Rays | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…2193backed Rays | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Twins | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Twins | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Twins | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…f57abacked Twins | 48c | 29.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…4da4backed Twins | 49c | 28.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…01eabacked Rays | 53c | 28.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a1…a7c6backed Twins | 49c | 27.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…e295backed Twins | 49c | 27.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…72c4backed Rays | 53c | 26.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…ce78backed Rays | 53c | 26.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2966…4e4ebacked Rays | 53c | 25.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…f8f5backed Twins | 48c | 25.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…c910backed Twins | 48c | 24.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…3a5abacked Rays | 53c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d6…15d7backed Rays | 53c | 24.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…e08dbacked Twins | 49c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…b1bfbacked Twins | 48c | 23.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.8wins | -0.41per pick | 49cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 53c | 23.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecd…8ee4backed Twins | 49c | 23.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…3838backed Twins | 48c | 22.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…5245backed Rays | 53c | 22.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…f489backed Twins | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…7c89backed Rays | 54c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…577bbacked Rays | 54c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…d2e3backed Rays | 54c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.