MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73963e16a70286812143f9901e818863da53555a8b275db45f6a79be6b49007e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Red Sox | 59c | 124,380$73,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,033.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Orioles | 43c | 122,240$52,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,845.88 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Orioles | 51c | 38,816$19,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,070.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Orioles | 49c | 28,562$14,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,448.53 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 52c | 18,232$9,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,711.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Red Sox | 52c | 17,292$9,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,039.49 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Orioles | 59c | 12,557$7,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.49 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 53c | 7,413$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.21 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Red Sox | 56c | 3,812$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.94 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Red Sox | 60c | 3,655$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.64 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Red Sox | 48c | 3,631$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.87 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Red Sox | 56c | 3,218$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Orioles | 52c | 3,000$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Red Sox | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 43c | 2,488$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Red Sox | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,893$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Orioles | 50c | 1,607$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.36 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Red Sox | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Red Sox | 46c | 1,451$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.34 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Orioles | 44c | 1,444$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…48aebacked Orioles | 51c | 1,392$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Red Sox | 37c | 1,310$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Red Sox | 63c | 1,235$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.34 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 46c | 1,131$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.34 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Orioles | 58c | 1,075$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.32 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Red Sox | 55c | 946.43$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Red Sox | 54c | 926.43$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Sox | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Red Sox | 54c | 823.06$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Orioles | 50c | 740$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Sox | 54c | 719.37$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.46 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 43c | 619$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.36 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Orioles | 50c | 521.23$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.94 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Orioles | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 50c | 464.27$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.13 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Red Sox | 56c | 445$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Orioles | 53c | 435.44$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Orioles | 49c | 435$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.7 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 44c | 411.83$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Orioles | 48c | 403.86$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Red Sox | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 55c | 363.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Orioles | 54c | 328.72$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Orioles | 55c | 305.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Red Sox | 59c | 300.48$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Red Sox | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Red Sox | 52c | 285$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Orioles | 44c | 248.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Red Sox | 52c | 238$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Orioles | 47c | 211.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Orioles | 48c | 209.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Red Sox | 56c | 183.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Red Sox | 55c | 178.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 48c | 169.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Red Sox | 67c | 155.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox | 42c | 146.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Orioles | 49c | 130.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Orioles | 51c | 125.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Red Sox | 55c | 109.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Red Sox | 56c | 105.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Orioles | 48c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Red Sox | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Red Sox | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Red Sox | 54c | 93.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Red Sox | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Red Sox | 55c | 80.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…8b0ebacked Orioles | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Red Sox | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Red Sox | 58c | 73.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Orioles | 53c | 72.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Red Sox | 56c | 71.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Red Sox | 66c | 71.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb05…4d1dbacked Red Sox | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…88d5backed Red Sox | 54c | 64.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Orioles | 49c | 59.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Red Sox | 60c | 55.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Red Sox | 48c | 54.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Orioles | 52c | 53.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Red Sox | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Orioles | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Orioles | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Orioles | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 47c | 47.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Red Sox | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Red Sox | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Orioles | 52c | 43.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Red Sox | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…425bbacked Orioles | 50c | 43.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Red Sox | 55c | 38.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Red Sox | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.