NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x682281b1bc9e63dece18965867ac39dd352fdffb417f787c6658284d6517c8b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Islanders | 47c | 9,244$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,344.69 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 51c | 8,168$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.18 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 48c | 5,044$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.22 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Islanders | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Islanders | 45c | 3,308$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.87 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 51c | 3,039$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.18 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ba…1ef3backed Capitals | 53c | 2,132$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked Islanders | 49c | 2,129$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea8…4002backed Capitals | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…9df1backed Islanders | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Islanders | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Islanders | 47c | 1,827$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.61 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Islanders | 49c | 1,796$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Capitals | 53c | 1,660$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.38 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…eb2dbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,462$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.58 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 49c | 1,433$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.17 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,116$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.53 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Capitals | 52c | 963.46$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.46 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 5c | 791.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Islanders | 47c | 765$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.02 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Capitals | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Islanders | 47c | 714.21$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.68 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Capitals | 52c | 633$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.84 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Capitals | 52c | 520$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders | 47c | 413.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Islanders | 49c | 404.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Islanders | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Islanders | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Capitals | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 52c | 319.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.59 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Capitals | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Capitals | 51c | 280$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Islanders | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Islanders | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…7010backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…6595backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…c3eabacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…3576backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…8f43backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…54a8backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…bd7bbacked Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…c687backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…2764backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…ea58backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…de45backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…e23fbacked Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…8141backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…5e30backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…7100backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…63b9backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11aa…c28fbacked Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aac…7fa5backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…07e4backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…860bbacked Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…fb18backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33de…109ebacked Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adc…8e02backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…20b5backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d23…20a9backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88a…f72ebacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…7ef9backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3e…d0a6backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…ec6cbacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…c1f2backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7998…2992backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…b67ebacked Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…087fbacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…fdb5backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d1…993ebacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…986fbacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…77e2backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88dc…c660backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc022…0c88backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…de8dbacked Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…c43abacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…dcdfbacked Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…8298backed Islanders | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5658…711cbacked Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Islandersthis page
- Capitals vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.