MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb365a7ef3e4b70a0e7b59950e25e643e18b9995dfc7b50d557c82e8d047645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Mets, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 43c | 16,203$6,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,962.94 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins | 44c | 14,602$6,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,176.88 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mets | 57c | 13,268$7,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,562.75 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 39c | 12,438$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,622.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 55c | 10,043$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.39 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins | 45c | 8,065$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.71 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 76c | 8,005$6,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,083.55 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Marlins | 43c | 5,974$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 77c | 5,543$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.11 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 44c | 5,004$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.24 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 43c | 4,525$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Mets | 56c | 3,905$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Marlins | 39c | 3,720$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mets | 1c | 2,942$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 43c | 2,600$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 56c | 2,501$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.85 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 44c | 2,044$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,990$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.54 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mets | 1c | 1,618$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 14c | 1,468$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Marlins | 45c | 1,162$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.22 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Marlins | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Mets | 39c | 1,079$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.81 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mets | 55c | 1,065$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.75 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 8c | 1,017$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 38c | 1,013$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.81 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Mets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mets | 40c | 965.35$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 43c | 849.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.49 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 44c | 839.89$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 4c | 838.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 44c | 802.29$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marlins | 34c | 709.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Marlins | 45c | 708.2$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.6 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Mets | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Marlins | 44c | 656.64$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.72 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Marlins | 43c | 591.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.43 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 43c | 569.5$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.61 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Marlins | 43c | 548$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.36 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 56c | 528.84$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.15 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 43c | 519.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Marlins | 44c | 466.11$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.02 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 55c | 452$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mets | 14c | 450.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Mets | 16c | 447.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Marlins | 34c | 400$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.46 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 48c | 397.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Marlins | 44c | 390.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.38 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 22c | 380.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.61 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Marlins | 21c | 378.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.22 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 44c | 358.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…8665backed Mets | 57c | 351.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Mets | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 46c | 312.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mets | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Marlins | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Mets | 57c | 295.02$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mets | 37c | 290.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 64c | 282.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 23c | 265.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.22 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 77c | 229$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marlins | 22c | 217.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…20b5backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…087fbacked Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…fdb5backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…77e2backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…d027backed Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…d8e6backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…b4f5backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…27e1backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…7ac7backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…c515backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…3450backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…c03ebacked Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Marlinsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.