MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b01fbbda0dbb7b5ab1c3197e547204ae4d74384ac121179396672c928ccbb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Mets, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Marlins | 43c | 18,888$8,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,766.16 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 57c | 18,687$10,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,651.4 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 49c | 5,677$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Marlins | 45c | 5,006$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.29 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Mets | 55c | 4,005$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 52c | 3,084$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Mets | 6c | 3,011$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 53c | 3,000$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.5 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 43c | 2,091$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mets | 56c | 1,719$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.77 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Marlins | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Marlins | 47c | 1,079$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 11c | 1,062$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Mets | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Marlins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 54c | 840.08$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.65 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mets | 66c | 755.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 44c | 685.98$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.15 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 44c | 585.6$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.94 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 44c | 525.03$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.06 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Marlins | 43c | 522.12$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.61 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mets | 5c | 479.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 44c | 456.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.07 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 60c | 441.33$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 47c | 429.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mets | 12c | 422.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mets | 11c | 399.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mets | 17c | 390.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Mets | 5c | 337.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…9f71backed Mets | 58c | 258.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Mets | 6c | 247.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marlins | 36c | 242.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…7d63backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…c1f2backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…087fbacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…fdb5backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d1…993ebacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…986fbacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…77e2backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5658…711cbacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…d027backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…d8e6backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…24f8backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…b4f5backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e672backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…59d5backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…27e1backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…3af5backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…56b5backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…d52abacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b8…fadebacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…0bf6backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…9026backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…7ac7backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…c891backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…e2b6backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…c515backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…3450backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…c03ebacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…10a7backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9558backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…bc26backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…13cdbacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b8…597bbacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…65b1backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…4f1fbacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8173…4a1dbacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2044…4f19backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…a2febacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…d761backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…d78cbacked Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…ba20backed Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.