MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac556272dc8d33af43b2ca9d26d09cbdcd06435761d05b20e4e359111e93c8c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof White Sox, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed White Sox | 49c | 14,000$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,140 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked White Sox | 49c | 13,661$6,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.98 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nationals | 51c | 11,501$5,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,865.26 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 77c | 9,604$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nationals | 37c | 8,257$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed White Sox | 49c | 6,480$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.35 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Nationals | 51c | 4,925$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 46c | 4,700$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.5 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Nationals | 11c | 4,573$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 51c | 3,844$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nationals | 51c | 3,698$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.98 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked White Sox | 48c | 2,782$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.81 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nationals | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 1c | 1,922$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…c1e9backed White Sox | 49c | 1,815$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde98…bedfbacked Nationals | 52c | 1,814$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Nationals | 51c | 1,665$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked White Sox | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Nationals | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked White Sox | 76c | 754$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Nationals | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed White Sox | 74c | 671.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 50c | 635.83$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.92 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 67c | 614.97$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed White Sox | 67c | 475.69$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed White Sox | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 25c | 395.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 5c | 342$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 52c | 325$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…ded5backed White Sox | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed White Sox | 72c | 300$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed White Sox | 80c | 271$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…20b5backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…7d63backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…087fbacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d1…993ebacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…986fbacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…77e2backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5658…711cbacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…d027backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…d8e6backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…24f8backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…b4f5backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e672backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…59d5backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…27e1backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…3af5backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…56b5backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b8…fadebacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…0bf6backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…9026backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…7ac7backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…c891backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…e2b6backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…c515backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…3450backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…c03ebacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…10a7backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9558backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…bc26backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…13cdbacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b8…597bbacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…65b1backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…4f1fbacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8173…4a1dbacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2044…4f19backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…a2febacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…d761backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…d78cbacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe12d…2e6abacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…1aa8backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949b…6e24backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c78…6bd5backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d6…3904backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…dd3ebacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- White Sox vs. Nationalsthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.