MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38fe03dbbf6c4a47db43efb0fc47461f8a5429bd43a49ec8e56908eeaa97144d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cardinals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 42c | 5,335$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.46 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 57c | 3,495$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Cubs | 58c | 2,883$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,935$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.15 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 56c | 1,461$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.88 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 1c | 1,373$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cubs | 60c | 1,254$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.73 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,204$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 57c | 1,202$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.73 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Cardinals | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 77c | 931$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Cubs | 57c | 878.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Cardinals | 42c | 718.45$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.75 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 40c | 715.09$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 701.93$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cubs | 60c | 689.88$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.09 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 628.05$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.06 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Cubs | 56c | 622.74$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.01 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 41c | 499.68$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 42c | 479.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cubs | 57c | 394$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 40c | 311.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 59c | 308$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 44c | 306$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals | 39c | 248.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 58c | 241$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Cardinals | 14c | 230$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 40c | 228$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Cardinals | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…20b5backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…7d63backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…c1f2backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…087fbacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…fdb5backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d1…993ebacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…986fbacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…77e2backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5658…711cbacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…d8e6backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…24f8backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…b4f5backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e672backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…59d5backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…27e1backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…3af5backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…56b5backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…d52abacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b8…fadebacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…0bf6backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…9026backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…7ac7backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…c891backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…e2b6backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…c515backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…3450backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…c03ebacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…10a7backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9558backed Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…bc26backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…13cdbacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b8…597bbacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…65b1backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…4f1fbacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8173…4a1dbacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2044…4f19backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…a2febacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…d761backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…d78cbacked Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.