TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Tigers, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$397,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$396,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Red Sox51c336,615$173,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,341.2638043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers48c92,001$44,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,160.461,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Tigers49c91,757$44,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,961.1613246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Tigers49c40,800$19,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,99211759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Tigers48c25,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0007363%46 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Tigers48c21,004$9,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,980.0878445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Tigers49c19,999$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.530255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Tigers49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.996547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers49c10,000$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Tigers48c9,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3208861.4%54 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers24c7,575$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.132,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Tigers52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6409146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers29c6,676$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.69,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers48c6,531$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.592,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers49c5,100$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4991,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Red Sox48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Red Sox48c3,382$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.2911456.1%64 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44038751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Red Sox67c2,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Tigers30c2,142$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers48c2,105$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.481,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox71c2,055$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.751,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Red Sox75c2,006$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.6223060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Tigers10c1,866$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1856417.2%11 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tigers30c1,676$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.6212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ab…341bbacked Red Sox76c1,312$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox47c1,254$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.1263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Tigers53c1,059$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.2122142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tigers49c979.59$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48031145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Tigers55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Tigers53c879.25$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4662045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tigers48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33695850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Red Sox71c636.01$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.031,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Red Sox48c632.4$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.856357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Tigers35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511838.1%45 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Red Sox73c391.53$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0414153.9%76 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Tigers25c364.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.371,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Red Sox56c362$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.786,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Tigers21c351.64$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3770841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Red Sox64c310.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.451540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Tigers49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14766751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Tigers52c293.32$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5426949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers53c260.52$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.31,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Tigers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066833.8%23 W · 45 L-9.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Red Sox50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Red Sox48c189.9$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.751,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers21c176$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Tigers24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.520523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Tigers53c122.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0166250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Red Sox51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers55c105$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7598149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tigers11c104.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.768,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1757545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Tigers38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3845732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Red Sox51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4913242.4%56 W · 76 L-14.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Tigers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Red Sox50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox69c97.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.834,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Tigers54c97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.381833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Tigers35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.560052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Red Sox50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4419747.2%93 W · 104 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Red Sox57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7221748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Red Sox45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4433140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Red Sox51c78.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.347548%36 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafea…3dbfbacked Tigers46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Tigers27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…0cdabacked Red Sox48c63.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc839…2930backed Tigers36c60.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.893729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x799f…c6b6backed Red Sox47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.559252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox54c42.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.382,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa9…259ebacked Red Sox49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Red Sox45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2225548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Red Sox46c38.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7526642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbed…60b9backed Tigers53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ef…25e3backed Red Sox52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.845541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Tigers53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.954352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ad…bec1backed Tigers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a7…490abacked Tigers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13b9…7e4fbacked Tigers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.