TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: 49ers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Titansof 49ers, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31c5…ede4backed 49ers47c37,425$17,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,739.7716545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 49ers47c31,623$14,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,862.7586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Titans53c30,000$15,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,10013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Titans53c29,267$15,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,755.3131240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Titans52c12,269$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,889.125850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked 49ers48c6,519$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1294456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed 49ers48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers65c5,224$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.5260049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 49ers48c5,219$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.1277052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Titans35c4,706$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.3750242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed 49ers47c4,541$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.1216955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked 49ers48c4,409$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.297939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Titans52c3,348$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.541,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Titans53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41015555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Titans53c2,777$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.194847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Titans53c2,262$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.1413959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Titans51c1,130$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.6475852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed 49ers49c1,033$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.782748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked 49ers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010142.6%43 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Titans43c984.44$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.4873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed 49ers59c847.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.997545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Titans53c830$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.159453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Titans50c816.33$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.556852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Titans53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37611759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Titans53c750$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.520555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Titans53c655$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8516957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed 49ers49c653.06$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Titans53c628.3$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.35949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked 49ers48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Titans53c606$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8217656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 49ers50c544$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9153348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Titans53c505$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3514060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 49ers49c485$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6547348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Titans53c470$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.910752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Titans53c450$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.515453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Titans53c450$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.512356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Titans53c450$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.510461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Titans53c450$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.59162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Titans53c450$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.515556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Titans53c450$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.516360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Titans53c450$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.511253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked 49ers47c425.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.212151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Titans53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3620443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Titans53c375$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.259651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Titans53c375$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2510958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Titans53c375$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2510161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Titans53c375$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2511265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Titans54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3716351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Titans53c336$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9212057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Titans53c335$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4511859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Titans53c280$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.611758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked 49ers48c260.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed 49ers50c258$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12914641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Titans53c242$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3211058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Titans53c224$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2810155.4%56 W · 45 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Titans53c222$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3412459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Titans53c222$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3410155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Titans53c222$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3410361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Titans53c222$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3410565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Titans53c222$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.349659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Titans53c222$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3411056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Titans53c222$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3410864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1977…32e8backed 49ers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019948.2%96 W · 103 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed 49ers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Titans53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.355345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9513357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.959659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.956147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9511658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9510964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9510464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9512458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9510359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.959164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9511463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.959757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9510761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9511856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9511552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9510757.9%62 W · 45 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.959862.2%61 W · 37 L+11.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Titans53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9510861.1%66 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Titans38c149$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7632043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed 49ers48c133.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.153831.6%12 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked 49ers48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018843.1%81 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked Titans55c114.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.554660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Titans53c111$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.174365.1%28 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ea6…a8c5backed 49ers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-78.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x019c…643ebacked 49ers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Titans52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489651%49 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…0e03backed 49ers78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Titans53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3422349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe43b…f955backed Titans53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.344748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked 49ers48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked 49ers53c81.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Titans47c81.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4319439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed 49ers49c68.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4212245.9%56 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Titans53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.266560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Titans44c59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1420757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Titans53c48.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.821275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+50.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.