Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee929ccc6027c3ec02baaa17c2f5349f57c8d74862f2bd86afbf87dec4894bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed GamerLegion | 43c | 4,599$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.86 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed GamerLegion | 39c | 3,272$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.08 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 31c | 2,905$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.54 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1win | 53c | 2,690$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.71 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1win | 57c | 2,636$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.66 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 1win | 58c | 2,320$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.6 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 1win | 61c | 2,240$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed GamerLegion | 40c | 1,013$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 1win | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 527.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.86 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed 1win | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 62c | 495$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked 1win | 71c | 439.23$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.93 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed 1win | 65c | 330$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed 1win | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed 1win | 62c | 151.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked 1win | 7c | 141.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed 1win | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed 1win | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…b1d3backed GamerLegion | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed 1win | 70c | 78.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed GamerLegion | 51c | 68.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed 1win | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed 1win | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed GamerLegion | 39c | 39.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed 1win | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed GamerLegion | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…265ebacked 1win | 63c | 23.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed 1win | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked 1win | 64c | 17.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked 1win | 70c | 15.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3)GamerLegion won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.