Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Wagner Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c640abbc55972562cfcdffb0c137a74b5c875a39b3600ce9e1a057e9e957709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flashof St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, Wagner Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20ae…f107backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 32c | 1,811$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.58 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wagner Seahawks | 70c | 732.2$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.72 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wagner Seahawks | 72c | 613.49$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.61 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wagner Seahawks | 60c | 374.94$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.09 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Wagner Seahawks | 71c | 296.72$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 32c | 261.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 32c | 202.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Wagner Seahawks | 76c | 181$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Wagner Seahawks | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 25c | 149.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…53f4backed Wagner Seahawks | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wagner Seahawks | 72c | 85.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 23c | 71.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wagner Seahawks | 60c | 68.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 35c | 66.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Wagner Seahawks | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Wagner Seahawks | 78c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Wagner Seahawks | 69c | 38.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wagner Seahawks | 66c | 30.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wagner Seahawks | 75c | 27.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Wagner Seahawks | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Wagner Seahawksthis page
- Spread: Wagner Seahawks (-6.5)St. Francis (PA) Red Flash won
- Spread: Wagner Seahawks (-7.5)St. Francis (PA) Red Flash won
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.