Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee119d47787575a8e65dd1fec20846ebf80dbbc7867abd2194d94f46e8755f48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Virtus.pro, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 4,515$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.18 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 3,873$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.43 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 3,807$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.03 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 2,401$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.1 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,988$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 1,398$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ab…a8b6backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 1,301$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 1,046$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.47 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Virtus.pro | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 999.98$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.69 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee30…acc9backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 997$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 748$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.7 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 649.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.48 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 641.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.32 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.85 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Zero Tenacity | 10c | 453.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.88 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 451.38$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.88 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 445.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 435.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.25 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 418.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 33c | 415.54$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.53 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 412.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.32 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 412.02$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.29 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 409.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…b1d3backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 400$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Zero Tenacity | 5c | 388.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.84 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +100%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 383.62$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 377.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.02 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 357.53$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 327.19$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 33c | 308.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.28 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 228.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…0f52backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 225.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 213.7$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 202.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 181.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 164.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.41 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Zero Tenacity | 10c | 164.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.77 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 162.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 153.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 152.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b29…f712backed Zero Tenacity | 8c | 149.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +198.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 149$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 140$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 119$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 99.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 96.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 69.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 62.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 48.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 37.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 37.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…6c06backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 33.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…7ad5backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 26.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…b1a5backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 25.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 18.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)Zero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.