Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec01b32103fe40646a1b89f6b7bc0bbf83a61a35a961f15cf662f40c6d653c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity | 0c | 7,034$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 5,214$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 3,480$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.75 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 2,422$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.31 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 2,104$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.81 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 1,130$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.19 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 935.32$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.27 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 902.27$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 750$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 750$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 699.99$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 692.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 495.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 451.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 405.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 378.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 326.71$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 289.93$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Zero Tenacity | 8c | 227.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 191.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 155.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 104.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 103.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 99.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…21e2backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 64.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…bdddbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 64.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 58.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 43.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 40.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 32.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…91b7backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 28.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…506fbacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 21.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc1…1d75backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 16.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…8842backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…5af1backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)Zero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.