Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a81c21dcf73a1382c3fb838144ba1f02f2126e0ed255bbdd8c64dc631cf0975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe167…03a1backed MOUZ | 44c | 8,130$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed MOUZ | 60c | 5,469$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.07 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,817$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.71 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,810$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,551$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.62 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked MOUZ | 3c | 2,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,082$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.89 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,765$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.31 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…b3f4backed MOUZ | 12c | 1,359$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,197$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.41 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,023$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked MOUZ | 52c | 948.92$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.93 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 755.43$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.03 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 729.77$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed MOUZ | 42c | 680.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.93 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 659$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.68 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed MOUZ | 11c | 600$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 553.48$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked MOUZ | 42c | 479.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked MOUZ | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 444.13$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.65 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 382.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.45 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed MOUZ | 61c | 374.55$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.46 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 317.21$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 315.09$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed MOUZ | 37c | 315$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 298$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 286.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 285.71$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 283.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.33 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 264.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 260.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.29 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed MOUZ | 32c | 224.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 210.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 202.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 200.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…265ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 190.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 39c | 180.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked MOUZ | 48c | 157.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 136.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 127.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…a8f9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 112.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked MOUZ | 75c | 110$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed MOUZ | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked MOUZ | 17c | 97.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 96.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…9d6abacked MOUZ | 44c | 79.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…0ecabacked MOUZ | 71c | 77.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 71.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee6…67d2backed MOUZ | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 68.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 61.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 57.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed MOUZ | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked MOUZ | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed MOUZ | 38c | 47.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed MOUZ | 30c | 40.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 33.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MOUZ | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…3022backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 29.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…eda5backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 26.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 26.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…af07backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 25.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 21.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 20.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…b96cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 14.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)MOUZ won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Series: Most kills?MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.