Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. California-San Diego Tritons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0215752cfe571a7b921bc1b256276cd28e9e605e74a4e6a5f0114db1b29ea5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal State Fullerton Titansof Cal State Fullerton Titans, California-San Diego Tritons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 10c | 1,468$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.35 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 659$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 50c | 513$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 17c | 388.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed California-San Diego Tritons | 11c | 338.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed California-San Diego Tritons | 22c | 308.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 293.68$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.82 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 61c | 226.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 13c | 214.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 33c | 202.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed California-San Diego Tritons | 26c | 163.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 69c | 145.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed California-San Diego Tritons | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 30c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed California-San Diego Tritons | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. California-San Diego Tritonsthis page
- Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 166.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.