Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UTEP Miners vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d5d850d688b2964e600ef85b9d9193fdf81a5866fb1acd75bc87c31b8cf6ae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof UTEP Miners, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8479…37f8backed UTEP Miners | 3c | 12,543$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 64c | 5,000$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UTEP Miners | 33c | 2,403$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.12 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e96…5bcdbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 77c | 1,341$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked UTEP Miners | 36c | 1,044$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.66 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked UTEP Miners | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 70c | 726.02$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.68 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed UTEP Miners | 23c | 723.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 66c | 721.58$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 78c | 707.53$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 70c | 630.86$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed UTEP Miners | 16c | 620$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UTEP Miners | 6c | 565$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…3f41backed UTEP Miners | 25c | 466.14$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UTEP Miners | 12c | 465.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed UTEP Miners | 19c | 465.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed UTEP Miners | 7c | 380$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 66c | 324.6$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed UTEP Miners | 32c | 298.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UTEP Miners | 38c | 210.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 56c | 210.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…d7cabacked UTEP Miners | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed UTEP Miners | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UTEP Miners | 36c | 157.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UTEP Miners | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UTEP Miners | 28c | 130.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked UTEP Miners | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UTEP Miners | 12c | 97.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 60c | 69.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked UTEP Miners | 22c | 69.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked UTEP Miners | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…5d14backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.