NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a771062038fc9f58cdf46527cb8e062448b68e8a2bd20d3ab32a79163e8c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 8,759$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 45c | 5,520$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 50c | 5,025$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.38 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 49c | 4,536$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.38 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 53c | 4,136$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.17 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.47 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 51c | 2,293$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.5 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…aa56backed Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Under | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…20e9backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…a2a9backed Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…2002backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 50c | 1,980$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 1,296$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.76 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 50c | 1,131$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.28 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 785$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.72 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 562$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 434.43$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 420.27$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 416.4$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.42 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 388$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.82 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 49c | 378.93$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.83 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 204.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Under | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 195.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 50c | 186$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 52c | 150.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 51c | 97.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 55c | 64.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Under | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…88acbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 73c | 25.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…8e89backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5this page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.