NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a491486786975fe0faff3927d6269f8182cc9c05d4d7e783f4d0ad6bb7ed921
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Cavaliers, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 49c | 42,106$20,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,614.83 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 22,531$11,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,265.5 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 20,566$10,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,677.44 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 18,185$9,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,106.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Cavaliers | 47c | 17,883$8,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,405.01 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 7,708$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.01 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 7,000$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.92 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 4,354$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 3,757$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.16 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,367$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…6fa7backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…c39bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,032$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.04 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,518$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.39 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,056$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.88 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,030$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 910$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.8 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 734$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.32 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Cavaliers | 48c | 645.29$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.74 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Cavaliers | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 571$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 438.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 430$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 367$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 354.54$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 326.41$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 310$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 308.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Cavaliers | 47c | 255$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…e1c8backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 214.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Cavaliers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 93.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 90.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…5519backed Cavaliers | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 75.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Cavaliers | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Cavaliers | 48c | 66.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Cavaliers | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 64.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 62.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Cavaliers | 48c | 51.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Cavaliers | 49c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Cavaliers | 49c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8c…c6d3backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…25debacked Cavaliers | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -79%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…748cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 38.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…f67fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…31f1backed Cavaliers | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cavaliers | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 34.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Cavaliers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f63…2c66backed Cavaliers | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b6…9764backed Cavaliers | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed Cavaliers | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)this page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.