NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x521bd5ce9abb2dadf3a118ea26909bb3477f7c094714c1b66bff91c25cc09a1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 23,109$11,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,986.57 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 10,050$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,226 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 47c | 5,760$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.8 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 55c | 3,960$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.45 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,544$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 2,010$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 52c | 1,854$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.2 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 1,128$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.66 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 1,092$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.01 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 48c | 1,071$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.71 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 919.1$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.1 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 50c | 888$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 35c | 811.7$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.03 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 53c | 575.86$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.21 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 47c | 446.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.73 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 272$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 54c | 222.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked Under | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 172.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…7677backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Under | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 47c | 84.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…6574backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d21cbacked Under | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Under | 52c | 27.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5this page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.