Lol · resolved market
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5440ca1919683b564874abed415db0be38601d37132a36e3acc2cb6c94731aa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked DN Freecs | 7c | 13,508$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.1 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed DN Freecs | 4c | 12,178$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.17 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed DN Freecs | 11c | 9,249$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed DN Freecs | 13c | 8,916$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.13 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked DN Freecs | 2c | 7,571$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…4f46backed DN Freecs | 15c | 6,500$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed DN Freecs | 10c | 4,750$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked DN Freecs | 9c | 4,036$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed DN Freecs | 13c | 3,026$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.29 | 429 | 40.1%172 W · 257 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DN Freecs | 1c | 1,982$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DN Freecs | 12c | 1,833$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked DN Freecs | 10c | 1,800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…5c5bbacked DN Freecs | 7c | 1,729$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked DN Freecs | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…7345backed DN Freecs | 14c | 1,424$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 195 | 41%80 W · 115 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed DN Freecs | 10c | 1,413$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed DN Freecs | 15c | 1,303$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed DN Freecs | 7c | 1,290$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…2a56backed DN Freecs | 15c | 1,131$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…26b2backed DN Freecs | 15c | 1,091$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed DN Freecs | 13c | 1,082$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 414 | 33.6%139 W · 275 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…45a4backed DN Freecs | 12c | 1,009$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked DN Freecs | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed DN Freecs | 12c | 863$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b30abacked DN Freecs | 15c | 831$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…1e74backed DN Freecs | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…98a5backed DN Freecs | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…cb83backed DN Freecs | 15c | 549$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed DN Freecs | 4c | 538.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…d1dabacked DN Freecs | 15c | 513$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed DN Freecs | 11c | 510$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed DN Freecs | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…c9d1backed DN Freecs | 11c | 499.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…553dbacked DN Freecs | 18c | 469$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…774fbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 460$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee78…094fbacked DN Freecs | 14c | 459$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…0492backed DN Freecs | 14c | 451$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…3e70backed DN Freecs | 9c | 433.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…12d2backed DN Freecs | 14c | 391$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…e999backed DN Freecs | 15c | 385$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked DN Freecs | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…0723backed DN Freecs | 16c | 358$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…ca08backed DN Freecs | 15c | 344$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…cfe8backed DN Freecs | 15c | 341.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DN Freecs | 5c | 315.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed DN Freecs | 13c | 291.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…d4d4backed DN Freecs | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs | 10c | 239.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked DN Freecs | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed DN Freecs | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed DN Freecs | 5c | 199.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed DN Freecs | 12c | 195.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 13c | 185.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…e2afbacked DN Freecs | 11c | 164.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed DN Freecs | 7c | 152.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed DN Freecs | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DN Freecs | 13c | 144$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…7b16backed DN Freecs | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed DN Freecs | 10c | 106.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed DN Freecs | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked DN Freecs | 14c | 86.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…4ca9backed DN Freecs | 14c | 80.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked DN Freecs | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.