Lol · resolved market
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25b0fdfbd084b84e5046c10e9cc0e22ab731de73dc425308a99b945a7222e56b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked DN Freecs | 13c | 7,500$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.84 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked DN Freecs | 1c | 4,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked DN Freecs | 9c | 2,889$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.7 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed DN Freecs | 13c | 2,878$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked DN Freecs | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 292 | 36%105 W · 187 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked DN Freecs | 11c | 1,731$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked DN Freecs | 20c | 1,707$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Nongshim Red Force | 80c | 1,578$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.51 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked DN Freecs | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Nongshim Red Force | 80c | 1,384$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked DN Freecs | 15c | 1,382$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.98 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 19c | 1,303$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.33 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs | 11c | 1,086$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed DN Freecs | 10c | 1,024$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked DN Freecs | 9c | 750$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 687.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed DN Freecs | 24c | 581.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed DN Freecs | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Nongshim Red Force | 75c | 470$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed DN Freecs | 21c | 468.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked DN Freecs | 13c | 373.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked DN Freecs | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked DN Freecs | 13c | 292.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked DN Freecs | 17c | 288.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed DN Freecs | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed DN Freecs | 19c | 91.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed DN Freecs | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Nongshim Red Force | 76c | 73.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nongshim Red Force | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.