Lol · resolved market
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee27eff2c6ad514c6df128dce32e4f76e83044e9f03d900f6dd236149339f93f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed DN Freecs | 2c | 8,127$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 6.3%8 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked DN Freecs | 13c | 8,000$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.5 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…893bbacked DN Freecs | 16c | 5,092$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed DN Freecs | 21c | 4,718$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked DN Freecs | 14c | 3,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs | 14c | 2,891$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.81 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 13c | 2,028$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.57 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Nongshim Red Force | 71c | 2,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed DN Freecs | 6c | 1,945$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed DN Freecs | 16c | 1,787$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.67 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN Freecs | 23c | 1,784$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.26 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked DN Freecs | 9c | 1,504$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked DN Freecs | 14c | 1,459$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked DN Freecs | 21c | 924.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…7b16backed Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 753.41$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed DN Freecs | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked DN Freecs | 9c | 699.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked DN Freecs | 14c | 508.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed DN Freecs | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Nongshim Red Force | 75c | 470$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked DN Freecs | 10c | 465.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 403.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed DN Freecs | 11c | 338.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 322.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked DN Freecs | 17c | 272.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed DN Freecs | 11c | 260.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed DN Freecs | 14c | 259.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed DN Freecs | 13c | 240.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…26bcbacked DN Freecs | 7c | 167.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…a44fbacked DN Freecs | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed DN Freecs | 17c | 113.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…d51fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 79c | 113$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed DN Freecs | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked DN Freecs | 22c | 71.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nongshim Red Force | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked DN Freecs | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fd…6b4dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.