Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. Long Beach State Beach
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7e9c0e8e80c1ee9c65dd020c823e3d8b17c964da9c9ffc504fa532704f4fb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Long Beach State Beachof San Diego Toreros, Long Beach State Beach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego Toreros | 57c | 4,601$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Long Beach State Beach | 37c | 2,269$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed San Diego Toreros | 58c | 1,891$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.96 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 1,614$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.43 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Toreros | 71c | 988.1$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Long Beach State Beach | 45c | 777.95$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.72 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 728.41$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 38c | 582.82$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.88 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 440$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.34 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Long Beach State Beach | 43c | 438.72$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.23 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Long Beach State Beach | 44c | 387.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.33 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 229.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed San Diego Toreros | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Long Beach State Beach | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Toreros | 63c | 146$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 139.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Long Beach State Beach | 42c | 138.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Diego Toreros | 27c | 137$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Long Beach State Beach | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked Long Beach State Beach | 44c | 114.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed San Diego Toreros | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed San Diego Toreros | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…a5a9backed San Diego Toreros | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed Long Beach State Beach | 28c | 56.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked San Diego Toreros | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Long Beach State Beach | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Long Beach State Beach | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…bc8abacked San Diego Toreros | 59c | 46.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…3ac6backed San Diego Toreros | 60c | 44.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…5376backed San Diego Toreros | 60c | 44.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…a42ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 42c | 40.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked San Diego Toreros | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…00bbbacked Long Beach State Beach | 42c | 38.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 37.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed San Diego Toreros | 71c | 34.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…bd31backed Long Beach State Beach | 42c | 33.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1921…4449backed San Diego Toreros | 58c | 30.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…b1cfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 42c | 30.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed San Diego Toreros | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…e21bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 42c | 26.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…48b8backed Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Toreros vs. Long Beach State Beachthis page
- San Diego Toreros vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 146.5Over won
- San Diego Toreros vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 147.5Over won
- San Diego Toreros vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Toreros (-1.5)Long Beach State Beach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.