Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3344cb04237e1a3ec51b3ce9514bb6ca704ce0d94a86e14397368a719b881f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 3,939$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.43 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,408$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.93 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 3,312$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.99 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Yes | 19c | 536.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +311.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 27c | 344.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 72c | 338$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 299$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 292.13$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.78 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 32c | 154.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 151$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 126.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…a5a9backed Yes | 48c | 97.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 93.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…2d49backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Yes | 20c | 61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 24c | 58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 70c | 37.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 79c | 28.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…1845backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Suwon FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Suwon FC win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.