Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UT Arlington Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0912d7aea4247bec3263ba3b8b74578d3eb1e83d455b97b461b614018376d964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Campbell Fighting Camelsof Campbell Fighting Camels, UT Arlington Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 14c | 7,639$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,558.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…05d8backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 77c | 789.08$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 75c | 500$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 48c | 323.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…45e0backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 31c | 145$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 63c | 142.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 22c | 100.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0015…d5b0backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf5…443bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 77c | 73.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 52.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…d159backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 60c | 41.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 48c | 35.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 68c | 31.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…b413backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…0ce4backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UT Arlington Mavericksthis page
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 152.5Under won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: UT Arlington Mavericks (-1.5)Campbell Fighting Camels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.