Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Colorado Buffaloes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71625367a8a70c1948bd1b8a72dd0ae0cd71a60dd95dcebbc4519c8ec02757b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof California Baptist Lancers, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8245…4f87backed California Baptist Lancers | 41c | 5,508$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 72c | 4,046$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked California Baptist Lancers | 30c | 3,341$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 65c | 3,204$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.13 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 58c | 2,038$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.53 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked California Baptist Lancers | 10c | 1,700$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 78c | 1,526$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.58 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Buffaloes | 63c | 1,248$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.88 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 12c | 1,230$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed California Baptist Lancers | 14c | 1,227$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California Baptist Lancers | 28c | 918.33$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.54 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked California Baptist Lancers | 13c | 799.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked California Baptist Lancers | 27c | 783.68$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Colorado Buffaloes | 70c | 710.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 71c | 701.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 13c | 576.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed California Baptist Lancers | 27c | 440$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California Baptist Lancers | 13c | 430$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…1d08backed California Baptist Lancers | 30c | 334.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 317$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed California Baptist Lancers | 14c | 280.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Colorado Buffaloes | 65c | 262.9$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d0afbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California Baptist Lancers | 21c | 185.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed California Baptist Lancers | 7c | 156.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 18cpaid | +108%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed California Baptist Lancers | 13c | 99.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed California Baptist Lancers | 32c | 79.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…2158backed California Baptist Lancers | 40c | 75.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 80c | 62.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed California Baptist Lancers | 27c | 56.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 67c | 47.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…579ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 33c | 42.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 67c | 40.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 67c | 27.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed Colorado Buffaloes | 70c | 14.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.