South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b899ec03ec419ea7551819c123a638e3fb8852e45c40d89073382573a19a5c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.99 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 56c | 12,482$6,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,492.02 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…81cebacked No | 55c | 5,790$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…e787backed Yes | 45c | 5,773$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 73c | 1,837$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.07 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,672$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.99 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 56c | 1,420$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.06 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.99 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 999.21$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.39 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 14c | 737.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 63c | 468.23$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.54 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 363.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 328.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 312.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 56c | 217.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed No | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 56c | 118.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 64c | 117.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 37c | 117.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 99.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 92.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed No | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 63.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Yes | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 38c | 58.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Yes | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…bec0backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 56c | 44.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 58c | 34.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…9a37backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…6886backed No | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…8463backed Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Unión win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.