NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e6f1ce46e40f38005589482d80d90ed25635b684c69422e93fc479edd91c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 1c | 8,847$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,758.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Kings | 49c | 4,168$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.98 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Kings | 32c | 4,003$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.01 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Heat | 32c | 3,177$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.26 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kings | 46c | 3,048$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.8 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Heat | 53c | 2,871$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.42 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Heat | 57c | 1,942$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Kings | 50c | 1,341$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.65 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Kings | 44c | 1,200$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Heat | 2c | 1,172$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Heat | 49c | 1,013$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.3 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Heat | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Heat | 52c | 999.91$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 72c | 997.74$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.09 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Heat | 44c | 909.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Heat | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…2be3backed Heat | 68c | 516.53$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Heat | 62c | 489.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.49 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 48c | 360.18$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Kings | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Heat | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…9826backed Kings | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Heat | 80c | 302.41$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…05cebacked Heat | 34c | 271.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Heat | 52c | 264.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Kings | 45c | 239.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 49c | 211.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Heat | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Heat | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Kings | 16c | 173.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 45c | 172.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Kings | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Kings | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Heat | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 53c | 149.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Heat | 48c | 149.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Kings | 53c | 141.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…20cebacked Kings | 48c | 131.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…494ebacked Heat | 54c | 131.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…c239backed Kings | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…7e92backed Heat | 50c | 117.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Kings | 45c | 117.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54f…c01bbacked Kings | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…7cf7backed Kings | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40d…0197backed Heat | 50c | 107$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Kings | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Kings | 48c | 104.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…14e1backed Heat | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Kings | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Kings | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Heat | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…97b4backed Kings | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Kings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…64ddbacked Kings | 48c | 94.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Heat | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…33e8backed Heat | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…ea10backed Kings | 49c | 91.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Kings | 52c | 77.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Kings | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Heat | 59c | 66.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…5290backed Kings | 65c | 66.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…bcf9backed Heat | 55c | 57.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…9721backed Kings | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Kings | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…f470backed Heat | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Heat | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Kings | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Kings | 40c | 49.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Kings | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Heat | 51c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7d…f894backed Kings | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Kings | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Kings | 47c | 40.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Heat | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Heat | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…2035backed Kings | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Heat | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…7364backed Kings | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Heat | 58c | 38.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…5753backed Heat | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…a1b2backed Kings | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Kings | 47c | 31.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Kings | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Kings | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Heat | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…2004backed Heat | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…dd68backed Heat | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…855ebacked Kings | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…5a49backed Heat | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…48f7backed Heat | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…825abacked Kings | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…6020backed Kings | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Heat | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Heat | 62c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…8499backed Heat | 50c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…5866backed Heat | 49c | 23.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…b3aabacked Kings | 52c | 23.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…1574backed Kings | 52c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.