NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd76c189e63db57144dc5651dab1511cd0976922444ff5da3be9be608bd7c3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Wizards, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Wizards | 26c | 10,396$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 13c | 9,134$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.42 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…42a8backed Wizards | 14c | 7,214$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…1e55backed Wizards | 22c | 6,810$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.01 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187c…ca3cbacked Wizards | 9c | 5,459$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wizards | 21c | 5,400$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.07 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 69c | 5,028$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.42 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…26e5backed Wizards | 40c | 4,659$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.75 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 13c | 3,100$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 20c | 2,324$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.78 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc20…7551backed Wizards | 28c | 2,005$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2e…5db7backed Wizards | 10c | 1,800$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 15c | 1,793$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.54 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards | 16c | 1,666$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.54 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 3c | 1,593$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Wizards | 4c | 1,516$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Wizards | 11c | 1,396$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 60c | 1,347$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.91 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Wizards | 3c | 1,250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Wizards | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 69c | 999.99$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…6f0abacked Wizards | 12c | 888.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Wizards | 22c | 850$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 2c | 850$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 12c | 818.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Wizards | 42c | 747.3$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.63 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards | 29c | 689.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd078…6251backed Wizards | 12c | 669.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…03babacked Wizards | 14c | 662.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 70c | 584.61$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Warriors | 73c | 507.71$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Wizards | 40c | 495.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Wizards | 20c | 405.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Wizards | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577b…8b76backed Warriors | 63c | 395.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…f28fbacked Warriors | 66c | 381.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Warriors | 71c | 377.26$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 13c | 318$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Warriors | 72c | 309.94$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Warriors | 72c | 307.14$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Wizards | 28c | 307.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Wizards | 15c | 299.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Wizards | 19c | 285.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Warriors | 68c | 285.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Warriors | 70c | 270.49$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 14c | 257.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Wizards | 39c | 256.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Wizards | 34c | 235.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Wizards | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…b710backed Wizards | 14c | 214.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Wizards | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09a9…dd6abacked Wizards | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 12c | 199.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Wizards | 21c | 195.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Wizards | 18c | 190.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Wizards | 23c | 190.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Wizards | 21c | 180$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Wizards | 23c | 170.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wizards | 29c | 169.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Wizards | 34c | 169.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 30c | 162.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Wizards | 31c | 161.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Wizards | 13c | 159.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Wizards | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Wizards | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed Wizards | 13c | 150.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Wizards | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 12c | 149.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 22c | 147.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Wizards | 36c | 140.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…272abacked Warriors | 78c | 136.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 12c | 134.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Wizards | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Wizards | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 13c | 122.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Wizards | 22c | 116.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Wizards | 14c | 108.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Wizards | 28c | 107.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…d17cbacked Wizards | 14c | 107.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Wizards | 14c | 105.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Wizards | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…d86bbacked Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.1wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +52%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…161ebacked Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…c1d6backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3c…2d66backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed75…3dabbacked Wizards | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…7e78backed Wizards | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…8788backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Wizards | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Wizards | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…6f06backed Wizards | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.