NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b882cf6531a66e1a50b0ff525853477b9c38383204d585f95febb86c1db0e8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Wizards, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea22…747abacked Wizards | 0c | 23,473$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…50cabacked Wizards | 14c | 22,700$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 14c | 12,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 3c | 9,535$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.73 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 3c | 9,030$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 2c | 7,325$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 9c | 6,798$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.91 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 13c | 5,500$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 12c | 4,931$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.73 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Wizards | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 6c | 2,900$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Wizards | 14c | 2,751$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.92 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Wizards | 7c | 2,607$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.52 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Wizards | 12c | 2,541$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.87 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 3c | 2,500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…781abacked Wizards | 8c | 2,495$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Wizards | 1c | 2,301$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8426…e3fabacked Wizards | 14c | 2,285$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 13c | 2,040$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.31 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…d062backed Wizards | 13c | 1,947$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Wizards | 14c | 1,060$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Wizards | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a9…dd6abacked Wizards | 12c | 999.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Wizards | 13c | 960$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Wizards | 9c | 900$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Wizards | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Wizards | 2c | 749.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 12c | 741.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards | 3c | 725.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Wizards | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Wizards | 13c | 516.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…ef29backed Wizards | 13c | 505.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 129 | 60.5%78 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Wizards | 13c | 420$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards | 8c | 400.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Wizards | 10c | 395$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Wizards | 11c | 377.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00a…303ebacked Wizards | 8c | 375.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 13c | 345.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed Wizards | 14c | 321.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e63…5ebfbacked Wizards | 14c | 317.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Wizards | 4c | 317$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Wizards | 14c | 314.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…69cebacked Wizards | 5c | 309.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wizards | 13c | 278$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…c222backed Wizards | 12c | 264.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Wizards | 13c | 262.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Wizards | 14c | 250.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Wizards | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f397backed Wizards | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Wizards | 12c | 221.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…c47fbacked Wizards | 14c | 214.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wizards | 12c | 208.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…8c2abacked Wizards | 14c | 200.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Wizards | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…bcdbbacked Wizards | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f35…e5fbbacked Wizards | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…4b3ebacked Wizards | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6d…8157backed Wizards | 14c | 138.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…8cbcbacked Wizards | 14c | 134.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f3…4f98backed Wizards | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Wizards | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cba…32e6backed Wizards | 14c | 121.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Wizards | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Wizards | 13c | 108$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…67dfbacked Wizards | 14c | 107.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…9543backed Wizards | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Wizards | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Wizards | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Wizards | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Wizards | 13c | 89.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…904cbacked Wizards | 12c | 87.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…bd27backed Wizards | 14c | 85.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.