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NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Trail Blazers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$546,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$562,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c5f…5eb7backed Mavericks74c150,000$111,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,0002100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b84…c23cbacked Trail Blazers26c150,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Trail Blazers0c130,195$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4511428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe28a…0f98backed Trail Blazers40c23,040$9,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,194.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Mavericks64c9,203$5,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…a71cbacked Mavericks74c7,460$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Trail Blazers3c7,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks70c6,810$4,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.2749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers26c6,195$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.7940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93d…8949backed Mavericks50c6,113$3,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.521428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks55c6,069$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.9465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Trail Blazers78c5,543$4,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,320.735267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks32c4,962$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,360.563,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks38c4,161$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.1461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcde3…bdaebacked Trail Blazers26c4,113$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f6…7f1fbacked Mavericks79c3,531$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.324165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers26c3,268$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c4…5cdcbacked Trail Blazers26c3,100$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Trail Blazers76c2,550$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.416563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.931,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Trail Blazers38c2,224$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.6913140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Mavericks49c2,156$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.6639843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Trail Blazers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Mavericks74c2,000$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.186167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks55c1,900$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8631,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Mavericks47c1,876$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.196634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e0…3eabbacked Trail Blazers26c1,700$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.951060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers30c1,674$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Trail Blazers44c1,515$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.3112651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mavericks64c1,500$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks61c1,500$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.61,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Mavericks73c1,487$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.499250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Mavericks74c1,486$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.495269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Mavericks46c1,463$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.9629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Trail Blazers70c1,417$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.3726547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Trail Blazers27c1,407$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8729…9a8dbacked Trail Blazers26c1,300$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Mavericks79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8221455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Trail Blazers41c1,130$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.915741.4%65 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x484c…94d9backed Trail Blazers1c1,125$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Trail Blazers3c1,100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96fb…b2a3backed Mavericks73c1,014$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Trail Blazers26c999.86$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9622721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks68c995.58$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks34c985.66$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.351,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Mavericks48c948.52$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.7615947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks71c947.57$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers6c885.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.981,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks73c832.88$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Mavericks63c823.41$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1340…a94ebacked Mavericks73c748.37$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Trail Blazers27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers35c723.36$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.325,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Mavericks26c692.81$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.466229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x416a…fd6cbacked Mavericks73c679.98$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Trail Blazers39c675.45$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4348137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Trail Blazers3c555.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Trail Blazers55c554.76$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.826435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers27c547.36$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Mavericks53c538.81$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Trail Blazers29c507.5$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.519650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Trail Blazers27c507.41$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13738132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Mavericks70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Trail Blazers27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0964…d727backed Mavericks73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Trail Blazers28c499.92$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9816341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Mavericks49c495.63$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f0…70aabacked Mavericks75c448.58$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.78955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Trail Blazers59c441.42$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4434425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Trail Blazers76c440$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.623956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58df…76b4backed Mavericks73c439.68$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.711353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed Trail Blazers46c432.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d9d…552abacked Mavericks73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1035…cc97backed Trail Blazers61c401.2$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.611662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks73c390.55$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1629148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers26c387.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.872,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Trail Blazers27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35af…4655backed Trail Blazers27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004731.9%15 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Trail Blazers27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006640.9%27 W · 39 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks73c344.24$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Mavericks75c333.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.487564%48 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Trail Blazers65c314.75$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8614941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Mavericks74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Trail Blazers26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Mavericks73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.974573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Trail Blazers37c268.78$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.326844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd0…53b4backed Mavericks65c253.23$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Mavericks15c246.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3522430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Trail Blazers47c244.34$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8411939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Mavericks36c238.86$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2410131.7%32 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers50c229.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.731,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Trail Blazers80c224.55$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6463555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Mavericks55c223.46$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5619350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf03d…a9eebacked Mavericks73c219.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.181963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5168…4524backed Mavericks73c217.53$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9809…fb8abacked Trail Blazers28c214.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a8…84b2backed Trail Blazers28c212.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.