NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0d96fb9f610ee9a03f3492e2bb5a625c3aebd24014127ce46c626af12582542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Red Wings, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 4c | 1,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 62c | 500.51$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.19 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 34c | 468.66$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Red Wings | 34c | 392.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2d…d44dbacked Red Wings | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…3773backed Lightning | 65c | 290.82$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 65c | 285.22$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…47f3backed Red Wings | 35c | 283.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…ac3abacked Lightning | 67c | 275.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 38c | 264.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Lightning | 64c | 244$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Lightning | 66c | 208.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lightning | 65c | 195.94$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings | 16c | 190.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5118…c9e7backed Red Wings | 35c | 170.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 77c | 167.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…fed1backed Lightning | 68c | 148.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3251…9963backed Red Wings | 35c | 133.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Red Wings | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed Red Wings | 33c | 110.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lightning | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Wings | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…049abacked Lightning | 67c | 94.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Red Wings | 22c | 89.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…ba20backed Lightning | 66c | 78.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…e201backed Lightning | 66c | 71.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Red Wings | 21c | 64.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c3…f88cbacked Red Wings | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings | 34c | 59.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…b3ffbacked Red Wings | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e38…5d36backed Lightning | 65c | 51.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Lightning | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36eb…380dbacked Lightning | 66c | 46.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…75d4backed Red Wings | 34c | 42.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…981cbacked Red Wings | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…3f44backed Lightning | 65c | 39.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Lightning | 65c | 38.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd6…4a49backed Lightning | 61c | 38.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…b601backed Red Wings | 39c | 38.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…decfbacked Red Wings | 39c | 37.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…b0c4backed Lightning | 61c | 37.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…2cbabacked Lightning | 80c | 36.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…3bfcbacked Red Wings | 36c | 36.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8b…22b5backed Lightning | 65c | 36.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…390dbacked Lightning | 66c | 36.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace1…48fdbacked Red Wings | 35c | 35.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…5c92backed Lightning | 66c | 35.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…0da2backed Red Wings | 36c | 35.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…5a8bbacked Lightning | 64c | 35.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c4…8fc3backed Red Wings | 35c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…2ba0backed Red Wings | 33c | 34.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 77c | 34.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7513…d71abacked Lightning | 65c | 34.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…d023backed Lightning | 61c | 33.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…a7a6backed Red Wings | 35c | 33.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…e48dbacked Red Wings | 34c | 33.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…24f0backed Lightning | 66c | 33.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…3933backed Red Wings | 35c | 32.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Red Wings | 36c | 32.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Red Wings | 36c | 31.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…8172backed Red Wings | 35c | 31.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962c…3062backed Red Wings | 34c | 31.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…10f9backed Lightning | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6ba9backed Lightning | 66c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…b987backed Red Wings | 34c | 30.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…b887backed Red Wings | 35c | 30.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…336bbacked Red Wings | 34c | 30.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Lightning | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Lightning | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…002cbacked Red Wings | 35c | 29.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…ec79backed Red Wings | 34c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…ac9abacked Red Wings | 39c | 26.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b9…befdbacked Lightning | 65c | 26.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…a1dbbacked Lightning | 66c | 26.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…89ecbacked Lightning | 64c | 25.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…e1bebacked Lightning | 65c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…8a83backed Lightning | 64c | 24.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…bc19backed Lightning | 66c | 23.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…1d7bbacked Lightning | 67c | 22.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3370…5cecbacked Lightning | 65c | 22.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…a6c7backed Lightning | 66c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…df37backed Lightning | 65c | 21.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca23…2354backed Lightning | 65c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…b1c9backed Lightning | 66c | 19.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…c58cbacked Lightning | 66c | 19.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaff…6785backed Lightning | 63c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…8044backed Lightning | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…d1c8backed Lightning | 66c | 18.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…bc64backed Lightning | 66c | 17.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…c882backed Lightning | 66c | 17.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…571abacked Lightning | 66c | 16.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…bec5backed Lightning | 66c | 15.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.