College Football · resolved market
Oklahoma vs. LSU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8affaff49564a95116786f20e3de5d4381282eb0cfa2985f6eac9c458eb608cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSUof Oklahoma, LSU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3a2…0946backed Oklahoma | 16c | 12,672$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…9869backed Oklahoma | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Oklahoma | 36c | 277.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed LSU | 64c | 265.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oklahoma | 6c | 264$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…757abacked Oklahoma | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked LSU | 65c | 149.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed LSU | 68c | 139.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Oklahoma | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oklahoma | 10c | 127$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Oklahoma | 32c | 116.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Oklahoma | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Oklahoma | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked LSU | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Oklahoma | 43c | 98.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Oklahoma | 16c | 87.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Oklahoma | 63c | 85.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed LSU | 68c | 61.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…e3a0backed Oklahoma | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Oklahoma | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2e…182dbacked Oklahoma | 36c | 56.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked LSU | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Oklahoma | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…bf59backed Oklahoma | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…c254backed LSU | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked LSU | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked LSU | 62c | 17.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.