NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f57340972ad02d2f7ceb2f85be4115d9ffc4d5f2426993c4fd1667adf6fcb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Hawks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $419,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Hawks | 0c | 67,950$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 9c | 22,584$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…54b2backed Hawks | 0c | 19,326$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 1c | 11,427$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Hawks | 4c | 9,514$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.89 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hawks | 14c | 9,128$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.07 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 21c | 6,404$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.77 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Hawks | 16c | 5,794$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.12 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 21c | 5,005$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.47 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Hawks | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Hawks | 20c | 4,666$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.04 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hawks | 2c | 4,425$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 79c | 3,895$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.92 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks | 5c | 3,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…c60dbacked Hawks | 19c | 3,087$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…211bbacked Hawks | 19c | 2,910$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hawks | 9c | 2,909$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Hawks | 22c | 2,856$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.28 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks | 1c | 2,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Hawks | 8c | 2,607$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hawks | 1c | 2,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Cavaliers | 79c | 2,359$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.36 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Hawks | 10c | 2,355$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Hawks | 20c | 2,252$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.87 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Hawks | 9c | 2,138$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks | 1c | 2,112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Hawks | 17c | 2,057$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…cadfbacked Hawks | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…09f9backed Hawks | 19c | 1,969$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hawks | 5c | 1,940$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…7786backed Hawks | 6c | 1,936$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,701$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.13 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 15c | 1,666$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.44 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…590bbacked Hawks | 21c | 1,620$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 19c | 1,609$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Hawks | 21c | 1,426$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Hawks | 7c | 1,423$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 79c | 1,333$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.93 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks | 19c | 1,314$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.16 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Hawks | 17c | 1,308$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Hawks | 21c | 1,293$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.09 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…d078backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 1,261$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.24 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Hawks | 2c | 1,231$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hawks | 19c | 1,124$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…7715backed Hawks | 1c | 1,021$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hawks | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Hawks | 7c | 963.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 927.67$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cavaliers | 79c | 860$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.55 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Hawks | 16c | 812.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 12c | 805.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Hawks | 7c | 799.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…db11backed Hawks | 21c | 777.01$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.67 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Hawks | 19c | 775.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Hawks | 6c | 749.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…0293backed Cavaliers | 80c | 735$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 79c | 732.02$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 623.34$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Hawks | 13c | 607.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Hawks | 6c | 607.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Hawks | 17c | 597.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Hawks | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…528abacked Cavaliers | 78c | 537.49$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…52dbbacked Hawks | 23c | 522.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks | 20c | 504.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…65aebacked Cavaliers | 80c | 501$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Hawks | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…a1b5backed Hawks | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Hawks | 21c | 470.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…5456backed Cavaliers | 79c | 470.63$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Hawks | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed Cavaliers | 79c | 411.39$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Hawks | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Hawks | 15c | 383.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…4c35backed Hawks | 21c | 357.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Cavaliers | 79c | 323.51$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Hawks | 20c | 322.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Hawks | 15c | 315.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…39a5backed Hawks | 21c | 309.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Hawks | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…ba4cbacked Hawks | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…c7b7backed Hawks | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Cavaliers | 79c | 291.43$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5da2backed Hawks | 20c | 290.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…3ff1backed Hawks | 7c | 288.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks | 17c | 267.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…e0e6backed Hawks | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…dd41backed Hawks | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Hawks | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…309abacked Cavaliers | 80c | 228.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Hawks | 22c | 227.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Hawks | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hawks | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…6128backed Hawks | 22c | 203.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.