Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa99cab526c0bfe09dfecee5baccda725b7f1850b85c4809cc41a81baf6acc103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59f5…dcaebacked Yes | 0c | 6,062$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes | 36c | 495$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 52c | 352.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 68c | 314.43$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.27 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 35c | 287.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 31c | 199.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 27c | 161$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 24c | 153.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 150.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 60c | 132.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 29c | 131.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 113.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 106.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7f21backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 73c | 79.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 72c | 69.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 65c | 66.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 32c | 61.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 59.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 53c | 56.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 54.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 34c | 50.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 62c | 47.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 61c | 40.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 63c | 39.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 36.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed No | 72c | 34.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 40c | 30.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 27.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.