Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd80ecf0984846075355d9e3626e8dc3b38016b7b95c91c0759ca4cf740769128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 1,482$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.43 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 1,389$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.92 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 1,375$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.21 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 68c | 939.61$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 78c | 878.88$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 54c | 766.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 30c | 765.78$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.12 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Yes | 69c | 706.19$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 59c | 607.25$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.38 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 588.68$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 64c | 513.12$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 43c | 441.46$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.44 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 71c | 404.6$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 355.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 43c | 322.36$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 315$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 310.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 79c | 309.04$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 305.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…be5dbacked Yes | 19c | 263.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 243$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 24c | 202$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 71c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 48c | 171.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…f515backed Yes | 62c | 161.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 40c | 132.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 48c | 125.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 31c | 119.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 21c | 114.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 59c | 113.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 24c | 103.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 51c | 100.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 80c | 100.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…9102backed Yes | 31c | 89.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 31c | 80.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 25c | 80.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd884…a940backed Yes | 53c | 75.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 59c | 74.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…7a07backed Yes | 41c | 74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 21c | 70.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 72c | 69.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 17c | 66.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 52c | 66.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 53.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 53c | 51.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 50.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…769cbacked Yes | 43c | 46.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 45.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 53c | 45.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 59c | 42.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 55c | 35.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…1184backed Yes | 71c | 35.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 39c | 34.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed No | 71c | 32.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 60c | 30.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 58c | 27.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…7fc4backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 79c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…922bbacked No | 74c | 15.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.