Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23f9a1671fca664e0e89180d0bb5233501e751ffab972289dcdd0aeab42be1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 16,230$9,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,216.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 46c | 15,960$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,309.88 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 32c | 3,456$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.91 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 69c | 3,219$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.17 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 1,795$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.01 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 1,494$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 55c | 1,305$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.1 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,256$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 804.34$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.3 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 56c | 770.46$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.16 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 57c | 764.46$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.75 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 657$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.32 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 11c | 592.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 27c | 524.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 13c | 519.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 54c | 512$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.31 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 32c | 492.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 55c | 465.83$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.22 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 460$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 9c | 427.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 76c | 249.47$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 12c | 226.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…5d31backed Yes | 74c | 223.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 11c | 199.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 190$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 74c | 175.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 6c | 171.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 58c | 170.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 164.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 7c | 157$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 54c | 149.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Yes | 48c | 137.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 37c | 131.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes | 58c | 91.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 58c | 90.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 62c | 79.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 76.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 55.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed No | 67c | 49.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 42c | 48.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 50c | 47.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 77c | 37.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…85f8backed Yes | 45c | 31.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…1b08backed No | 77c | 20.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 53c | 19.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF end in a draw?this page
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-07-27?No won
- Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-07-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.