Tennis · resolved market
Zug: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Anton Matusevich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x869f3f563b57b43b75266a3143f30e01b58528162f25c3a6bbfbc5077b24b234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anton Matusevichof Alvaro Guillen Meza, Anton Matusevich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anton Matusevich | 59c | 13,680$8,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 37c | 4,985$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.2 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 21c | 2,250$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anton Matusevich | 74c | 1,746$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.34 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 44c | 1,109$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.31 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Anton Matusevich | 60c | 971.67$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.67 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 39c | 932.26$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…5e9bbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 51c | 688$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 39c | 469.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.96 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 53c | 439.62$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…ff48backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Anton Matusevich | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 53c | 377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 38c | 341.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.73 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 27c | 251.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 41c | 250.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Anton Matusevich | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 49c | 188.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 43c | 186$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 43c | 177.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 11c | 163.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 7c | 149.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 52c | 143.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 26c | 132.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Anton Matusevich | 50c | 131$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 19c | 128$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 51c | 126.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Anton Matusevich | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Anton Matusevich | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…bad9backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 12c | 110.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…c168backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…bc77backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 18c | 93.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 13c | 90.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 38c | 81.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anton Matusevich | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 14c | 71.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…4820backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 35c | 57.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Anton Matusevich | 47c | 55.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 38c | 46.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anton Matusevich | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Anton Matusevich | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…54afbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 62c | 36.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 52c | 32.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 45c | 28.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 51c | 27.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Anton Matusevich | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Anton Matusevich | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Anton Matusevich | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Anton Matusevich | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Anton Matusevich | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Anton Matusevich | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Anton Matusevich | 56c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 53c | 18.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.