Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59176a3ffdad235c6959afa465e382f61631614e33db54875df37c912bbc56f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf888…1c98backed Yes | 25c | 7,282$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.47 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x673c…d452backed No | 56c | 7,265$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.86 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 2,011$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.44 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Yes | 22c | 1,157$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.66 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 1,151$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.82 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 35c | 1,032$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.57 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 31c | 811.48$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.26 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 778.32$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 28c | 726.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 651.88$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.97 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 509.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 45c | 485$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.25 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 7c | 480.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 76c | 433.8$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 75c | 302.28$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 24c | 293.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 32c | 290.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 35c | 188$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 36c | 145.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 55c | 137.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 33c | 130.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 72c | 129.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 38c | 123.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 80c | 109.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Yes | 28c | 107.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 19c | 103.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 23c | 94.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 25c | 83.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 81.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 43c | 71.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 36c | 70.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 69.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 78c | 64.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 27c | 59.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 66c | 49.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…49c0backed Yes | 31c | 48.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 37c | 37.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60e2…9bd7backed Yes | 39c | 28.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 78c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 77c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?Yes won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.