Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d1e86f4e3b74c66f228bb4a94c8841dc9438795d7df34154720d3d9707a8a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 13c | 8,125$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.14 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked No | 78c | 5,128$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.21 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 78c | 3,564$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 2,958$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.24 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 1,925$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.5 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 2c | 1,900$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 77c | 1,145$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 22c | 1,092$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 23c | 958.79$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.52 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 6c | 715.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 10c | 556.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes | 5c | 441.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 360.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b2…7d9cbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 220.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 21c | 219.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 16c | 203.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 23c | 199$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 22c | 176.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 161.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 149.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 147.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 146.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 79c | 146.05$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 26c | 127.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 19c | 118.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 18c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 23c | 94.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 23c | 94.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 23c | 86.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 23c | 86.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 81.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 19c | 55.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1db…594cbacked Yes | 23c | 55.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…8249backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 79c | 50.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…5c42backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 78c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?Yes won
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.